Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#269
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#233
Pace72.6#67
Improvement-0.7#206

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
Improvement-1.4#251

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#281
Improvement+0.6#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 3   @ Florida L 69-77 1%     0 - 1 +13.1 +3.1 +10.6
  Nov 11, 2013 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 72-70 31%     1 - 1 +1.4 +2.4 -1.0
  Nov 13, 2013 97   @ Middle Tennessee L 70-77 11%     1 - 2 +0.6 +1.3 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2013 206   Southern L 78-87 48%     1 - 3 -14.2 +3.9 -17.8
  Nov 18, 2013 280   Savannah St. W 66-63 64%     2 - 3 -6.5 -1.3 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2013 280   @ Savannah St. W 65-61 43%     3 - 3 +0.1 +2.5 -2.1
  Nov 29, 2013 18   @ Ohio St. L 64-99 3%     3 - 4 -17.8 +4.7 -23.0
  Dec 04, 2013 86   @ Alabama L 48-76 9%     3 - 5 -19.0 -18.3 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2013 58   @ Indiana L 68-89 6%     3 - 6 -9.4 -4.9 -2.1
  Dec 17, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. L 48-78 2%     3 - 7 -10.9 -16.3 +5.4
  Dec 21, 2013 333   Bethune-Cookman W 68-64 83%     4 - 7 -11.8 -7.6 -3.9
  Dec 30, 2013 339   Kennesaw St. W 85-60 84%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +8.3 +0.9 +5.9
  Jan 01, 2014 102   Mercer W 89-83 24%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +7.6 +10.1 -3.0
  Jan 04, 2014 272   @ Lipscomb W 78-73 40%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +1.8 -8.2 +9.4
  Jan 06, 2014 303   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-70 52%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -12.5 -11.3 -1.5
  Jan 09, 2014 189   Florida Gulf Coast L 75-79 43%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -8.2 +1.2 -9.3
  Jan 11, 2014 337   Stetson W 74-60 84%     8 - 9 4 - 2 -2.3 +2.5 -3.0
  Jan 17, 2014 308   Jacksonville W 86-82 74%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -8.4 +5.4 -13.7
  Jan 23, 2014 251   @ East Tennessee St. L 93-99 35%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -8.0 +9.9 -17.4
  Jan 25, 2014 173   @ South Carolina Upstate L 60-71 22%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -8.7 -7.5 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2014 303   Northern Kentucky W 67-66 72%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -11.1 -8.3 -2.7
  Feb 01, 2014 272   Lipscomb L 58-60 61%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -10.8 -18.8 +8.0
  Feb 06, 2014 337   @ Stetson W 54-52 68%     11 - 12 7 - 5 -8.7 -18.2 +9.7
  Feb 08, 2014 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 46-73 24%     11 - 13 7 - 6 -25.6 -24.9 -0.1
  Feb 14, 2014 308   @ Jacksonville W 79-74 54%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -1.8 -0.5 -1.3
  Feb 20, 2014 173   South Carolina Upstate L 70-81 40%     12 - 14 8 - 7 -14.3 +0.1 -15.2
  Feb 22, 2014 251   East Tennessee St. L 85-88 57%     12 - 15 8 - 8 -10.6 +3.1 -13.5
  Feb 27, 2014 102   @ Mercer W 79-76 OT 12%     13 - 15 9 - 8 +10.1 +1.7 +8.1
  Mar 01, 2014 339   @ Kennesaw St. W 87-77 69%     14 - 15 10 - 8 -1.1 +4.5 -6.4
  Mar 04, 2014 173   @ South Carolina Upstate L 74-80 22%     14 - 16 -3.7 -1.8 -1.6
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%